Stats guru Ken Pomeroy has projected the entire University of Kentucky basketball season using his statistical system.
Pomeroy projects the Wildcats to finish 21-7 on the season and 11-5 in the Southeastern Conference.
He predicts losses to North Carolina, Louisville, Florida, Vanderbilt, Tennessee and one in both the SEC and NCAA Tournaments.
Here are Pomeroy’s predictions from his site [URL=”http://www.kenpom.com/”]kenpom.com[/URL]:
[B]2011 Schedule:[/B]
[I]Game Plan Date Opponent Result Location Record Conf[/I]
Fri Nov 12 81 East Tennessee St. W, 76-63 70 89% Home
Fri Nov 19 128 Portland W, 72-62 66 85% Semi-Away
Mon Nov 22 96 Oklahoma W, 75-65 68 84% Neutral
Tue Nov 30 131 Boston University W, 79-62 69 94% Home
Sat Dec 4 12 North Carolina L, 75-71 72 33% Away
Wed Dec 8 68 Notre Dame W, 74-66 66 81% Semi-Home
Sat Dec 11 94 Indiana W, 76-62 69 90% Home
Sat Dec 18 333 Mississippi Valley St. W, 86-53 69 99.6% Home
Wed Dec 22 230 Winthrop W, 75-54 66 98% Home
Tue Dec 28 327 Coppin St. W, 82-52 67 99.5% Home
Fri Dec 31 36 Louisville L, 70-69 68 47% Away
Mon Jan 3 211 Pennsylvania W, 80-58 67 97% Home
Sat Jan 8 69 Georgia W, 71-67 68 63% Away
Tue Jan 11 116 Auburn W, 79-64 70 93% Home
Sat Jan 15 82 Louisiana St. W, 71-60 66 89% Home
Tue Jan 18 58 Alabama W, 68-66 68 57% Away
Sat Jan 22 85 South Carolina W, 72-67 71 69% Away
Sat Jan 29 69 Georgia W, 75-64 68 86% Home
Tue Feb 1 54 Mississippi W, 73-72 69 54% Away
Sat Feb 5 14 Florida L, 72-68 67 34% Away
Tue Feb 8 25 Tennessee W, 72-67 69 71% Home
Sat Feb 12 38 Vanderbilt L, 71-70 69 48% Away
Tue Feb 15 65 Mississippi St. W, 75-65 68 85% Home
Sat Feb 19 85 South Carolina W, 76-63 71 89% Home
Wed Feb 23 97 Arkansas W, 74-68 71 73% Away
Sat Feb 26 14 Florida W, 71-68 67 65% Home
Tue Mar 1 38 Vanderbilt W, 74-66 69 77% Home
Sun Mar 6 25 Tennessee L, 70-68 69 40% Away
Projected record: 21-7 11-5
Chance of unbeaten record: 0.01% 0.12%
Chance of winless record: 0.00% 0.00%
– Projected record is based on cumulative probabilities of winning each game and may not equal the individual game predictions.
– Home games played at Rupp Arena (23,000, 2nd largest in D-I)
– Games against opponents yet to be determined are not included in the upcoming schedule.
